Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000135 0.000151 0.000167 0.000186 0.000208 0.000231 0.000257
2025-09-14 0.000111 0.000132 0.000156 0.000184 0.000218 0.000257 0.000306
2025-09-21 0.000096 0.000121 0.000149 0.000186 0.000233 0.000289 0.000362
2025-09-28 0.000085 0.000111 0.000143 0.000187 0.000245 0.000317 0.000417
2025-10-05 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000186 0.000253 0.000341 0.000468
2025-10-12 0.000068 0.000096 0.000135 0.000190 0.000268 0.000376 0.000535
2025-10-19 0.000062 0.000090 0.000130 0.000190 0.000278 0.000402 0.000593
2025-10-26 0.000056 0.000085 0.000126 0.000190 0.000286 0.000427 0.000650
2025-11-02 0.000051 0.000080 0.000121 0.000188 0.000292 0.000449 0.000704
2025-11-09 0.000048 0.000076 0.000119 0.000189 0.000302 0.000477 0.000771
2025-11-16 0.000044 0.000071 0.000114 0.000186 0.000305 0.000494 0.000820
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000067 0.000111 0.000185 0.000311 0.000516 0.000879
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000064 0.000108 0.000185 0.000319 0.000543 0.000949
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000061 0.000105 0.000184 0.000324 0.000565 0.001014
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.000059 0.000103 0.000186 0.000336 0.000600 0.001104
2025-12-21 0.000031 0.000056 0.000101 0.000187 0.000346 0.000632 0.001190
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000054 0.000099 0.000186 0.000351 0.000656 0.001264
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000052 0.000099 0.000190 0.000367 0.000700 0.001381
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000050 0.000097 0.000190 0.000375 0.000731 0.001475
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000048 0.000095 0.000190 0.000382 0.000760 0.001566
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000046 0.000092 0.000188 0.000387 0.000784 0.001649
2026-02-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000189 0.000397 0.000821 0.001762
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000043 0.000088 0.000186 0.000398 0.000838 0.001835